The Obscurer

Category: Politics

Election Special

I wasn’t going to write a post about the election, I was just going to include a post-script to my previous post “Commercial Break” explaining how and why I wasn’t writing a post about the election; until I realised that in explaining why I wasn’t going to write about the election I had started writing about the election, and so writing about the election in a post-script about how I wasn’t going to write about the election started to look a bit silly. So here is my separate post, about the election, what I wrote.

The reason I wasn’t intending to speak on the subject is because I seem strangely uninterested in the whole affair. I suppose I take it for granted that Labour are going to win, and so there is nothing really left to say. Perhaps if a Tory win looks likely then I may spring into action, but unless anything dramatic happens I suggests you look elsewhere for election commentary; the Election Blog is a good place to start, which features articles from Nick Barlow, Chicken Yoghurt and the ever excellent NoseMonkey, amongst others. I have placed a LibDem advert on this page, as they will be getting my vote, but it is the equivalent of a poster in the front window of my house. It is me saying “I’ve made my mind up…now LEAVE ME ALONE!”

I will be voting for the LibDems, just as I almost always have. I suppose politically I have shuffled slightly from foot to foot over time, a bit to the left, a bit to the right, but always within the LibDem’s orbit while Labour has shot straight over my head. In particular I will get out to vote because my constituency, Cheadle, is the most marginal in the country, with a LibDem majority of only 33 over the Tories. My vote really could count.

I won’t go into details about why I won’t vote Tory. Suffice it to say that I still view them as a party of absolute and unrestrained evil, and I don’t believe that this is an unreasonable view to hold. I wouldn’t piss on them if they were on fire, unless I was able to piss pure paraffin. Damn them all to hell. Don’t get me started on the Tories; you wouldn’t like me when I’m angry.*

I can’t say I am a big fan of Labour, of course, or of Blair, but there really is no question who I would prefer to form a government. While I understand where the Backing Blair campaign is coming from, and despite eight years of a Labour government, I still view politics in terms of being pro- or anti- the Conservatives. Even if it was in my gift, I just couldn’t bring myself to vote Tory in order to give Blair a bloody nose. I know the risks of the Tories getting in are tiny – the BBC have a handy election seat calculator here, which the other day showed a Labour overall majority of 40 seats even when both parties had 36% of the vote – but I couldn’t live with myself if the calculation went awry and Michael Howard went to see the Queen on Friday the 6th. It is too serious a business and is simply not worth it.

So that’s my election special. You will notice I haven’t gone through the parties’ policies or tried to justify why I am voting as I am, I have just bashed out a bit of prejudice. I figure most people who read this already know who they are voting for and why, and will also know why I will vote as I intend (see my previous posts if you are not sure).

I expect a third Labour term; perhaps even as part of a coalition with the LibDems if required, and if we are lucky. On that basis, I doubt I will write on this subject again. Wake me up on 05/05/05; unless something interesting happens.

*Update: I have had a rethink since writing this criticism of the Tories, and I feel that I have been unfair. It was over the top to describe them as a party of absolute evil. In addition, I believe that in all probability, if placed in the situation, I would piss on them, if they were on fire.

Take Flight

It appears we have had the first casualty of the election campaign, with the de-selection of Deputy Chairman Howard Flight by the Conservatives following his comments to a private meeting arguing for further cuts in public spending. For a while now I have been amazed by the Tories’ ability to act like turkeys voting for Christmas (or to become turkey twizzlers), and their handling of this incident is typical of their recent behaviour. Okay, it may not be quite of the magnitude that led them to select IDS as their leader in preference to Michael Portillo, but it is still a remarkable act of mismanagement.

For weeks now people have been talking about how the Tories have succeeded in setting the political agenda; that they may not be able to change the election result but they were fighting the campaign on their issues and Labour was just rolling with the punches. All that has changed, at least for the moment. I cannot believe there wasn’t a less messy way out of this predicament, that Flight (whose comments did not seem that outrageous to me) could just have said that he was speaking personally and that of course he was signed up to the Tory manifesto; with that I suspect the story would have died. Instead Michael Howard looks even more the authoritarian and autocratic leader. Who knows how this will play in the country at large, but if he acts this way with his party I certainly don’t want him to be leading the nation (not that I ever did, but you get my point).

More interesting, though, were some of the reactions I heard on a radio phone-in the other day. Fi Glover, standing in for Jeremy Vine on Radio 2, fielded a number of calls, all from Tories, who whilst divided on the matter of Howard Flight’s fate were united on the subject of public services. This particularly annoyed me; the only reason I listen to the BBC is for their unreconstructed, institutionalised leftist bias, so to hear call after call from people who were unashamedly right wing was not what I expected. The consensus appeared to be that as Labour has increased public spending, and this has not delivered, we should now be making cuts in public services to trim back the inevitable waste and inefficiencies therein.

I think these comments symbolise for me what I dislike so much about the debate about public services. The argument seems to be that because there are problems with public services, and because more money has been put in, any failings must be down to the inefficient public sector. Well, there may be inefficiencies in the public services, and indeed I am sure there are, but that is a separate issue to the amount of money they require. It seems an easy target to call for streamlining the public sector, but actual evidence of inefficiencies themselves is rarely forthcoming other than in vague statements. If the public services are not delivering, you could just as easily argue that even more money should be put in; this is every bit as simplistic an argument.

The fact is, I would suggest, that many of the people who phoned in the other day just resent paying tax and funding public services, full stop. If public spending is increased, and examples of failings are found, then this is used to support the idea that any public spending is wasted; but the public services will always fail, to some degree, because everything fails. There are always some problems, somewhere. However, when something does go wrong in the public sector, then all of the public services seem to get tarred with the same brush. This does not seem to be the case with the private sector.

Every week on television Watchdog shows numerous examples of poor customer service, bad management, faulty goods, almost always because of a problem (admittedly, often spurious in my view) associated with a private company; yet it is rarely suggested that such failings are typical of the sorts of activities related to the private sector. For some reason, however, when a problem is highlighted in for example the NHS, it is not unusual to hear the opinion that this in keeping with the sorts of problems endemic to the public sector, that it reflects similarly on the actions of local councils or police forces, as if any failure on one area shows the intrinsic problems associated with public services as a whole.

I am not suggesting that all is well with the public services, that things cannot be improved, but I think we should have a proper debate, free from silly and simplistic assumptions. Ideology alone will solve nothing. How many people thought that all the failings in the rail network could be solved by privatisation? I wonder how many of the same people are now arguing for re-nationalisation, as if that in itself is the answer. On its own, a simple change of ownership from public to private or vice versa cannot solve anything. But to be honest, I get the feeling that even of we did have a terrific rail network, some people would still moan that it wasn’t as good as (say) France’s, as if going on a train a few years ago between Charles de Gaulle and the Gare du Nord makes you an expert on the superiority of the French transport infrastructure.

Of course, it does happen the other way around as well; some people recoil in horror at the very thought of companies making a profit, as if the idea of making money is incompatible with providing a public service. It isn’t. We should be doing what is right, what works, to provide the public services we desire. In order for that to happen we need a debate free from ideology; free from assumptions that the public sector can only fail, or that profit and welfare are incompatible; free from the theory that only state action can succeed, or that the market in infallible. Too often the arguments we hear seem to be being made by people who have an aversion to either the public sector or the private sector. I feel it is very unlikely that such people have the answers.

While Labour has increased public spending, any failures in the public sector will be blamed on inefficiencies, so cuts will be argued for. You can guarantee that if the Tories are elected and public services are cut then any failings will be blamed on lack of finances, and so greater public spending will be argued for. Let’s all grow up and accept that there will always be problems in the public sector, as in the private sector; now let’s try to figure out what works best for all of us.

The Other Sudan

How often has the situation in Darfur dominated news coverage? I know it has been mentioned, and has even been discussed in some detail on Newsnight and Channel 4 News; but has it ever been the first item on all the main news bulletins, and had lengthy and detailed in-depth analysis devoted to it across all channels? If it has happened, then I don’t remember it. But Sudan did briefly take over news broadcasting last week; only it wasn’t Sudan in Africa, but the health scare caused by the toxic dye Sudan 1 being found in a range of foods across the country. Has the media lost all sense of proportion?

Now of course, I am not suggesting that the issue shouldn’t have been covered, but wouldn’t it be nice if the media showed the same zeal in trying to discuss Darfur? And just how did they discuss Sudan 1? First of all, the media were angry that we weren’t informed of the threat sooner. When the Food Standards Agency explained the detailed action they had taken, they were then accused of over reacting and panicking the British public. When the media weren’t complaining about the speed of the FSA’s response they were bemoaning the fact that it had taken the Italian authorities to discover the problem; why did we have to rely on the Italians? Perhaps it is just me, but surely someone has to discover the problem; why not the Italians? But as usual, the media are too busy analysing everything to death and looking for someone to blame.

It seems to me as if the FSA acted about right. They had to pass out the information and products have to be recalled; fine. Sorry though; perhaps I will live to regret this, but I’m not too concerned. Let’s face it; how much Sudan 1 do you need to consume to be in any danger? I can’t imagine much red colouring is needed to go into red chilli powder to make it redder. I don’t think a huge amount of chilli powder goes into making Worcester Sauce. Then, how much Worcester Sauce goes into the food products themselves? I would imagine a dash. So even if you have eaten a contaminated product, you have probably ingested a little of not a lot of a smidgen of Sudan 1.

Is eating burnt toast or sitting in a smoky pub more carcinogenic? Because I did both things last week (although not at the same time; I’m not mad). As the supermarkets clear their shelves of Beef Pot Noodles they are still happily selling tobacco products. And what if you drop your last chip on the floor in a restaurant, and sneakily pop it into you mouth (while no one is looking of course); if that floor has been polished with a product containing Sudan 1, are you getting a more concentrated hit of the toxin?

This story screams of over-reaction on all sides; my Mother-in-law even sent us a frantic text message warning us not to eat at McDonalds. We followed her advice, but for different reasons. No; if it’s all right with you I will reserve my concern for the people of Darfur.

The Law's A Fox

The debate on fox hunting has moved on from the parliamentary stage and through the legal challenges; now all the discussions are about the role of the police and their enforcement of the law. The earlier stages of the debate have been characterised by people talking a right load of bollocks on all sides, and this stage of the argument is no different.

I have read conflicting stories about whether a greater or lesser number of foxes were killed on the first day that hunting was made illegal. There are also a number of claims that not all hunts stayed within the new law, and that some foxes were killed unlawfully, apparently in mockery of the new legislation. Well, it may come as a surprise to some people, but the law is being broken all the time, even as we speak, in a huge variety of ways; this in itself does not affect whether a certain law is worthwhile or not.

I don’t want to get into the guts of whether or not the hunting ban is a good or bad thing, just to comment on some of the recent criticisms. For example, it has been suggested that the police have more important things to do than chase after huntsmen, as if this is reason enough to argue against a hunting ban; but the police already have a wide range of incidents they have to deal with, from the trivial to the serious, and they prioritise accordingly. Murder is a more serious matter than shoplifting; but that doesn’t mean the police shouldn’t bother with shoplifting, does it?

Another complaint is that it is pretty difficult to assess whether or not anyone is in fact breaking the new law, and so it is a tricky thing to actually bring charges against anybody. It is argued that if it is difficult to bring a prosecution then the whole fabric of law and order falls into contempt and disrepute. But what are burglary detection rates at the moment? Around 17%? Lower? Following this logic we shouldn’t bother with a criminal offence of Burglary either, because it is so difficult to get a conviction. It just strikes me that these are poor reasons to oppose the new law.

According the The Times, everyone is dismayed by the way the police seem to be handling this. Anti-hunters are reported to be upset by Assistant Chief Constable Adrian Whiting of Dorset Constabulary, due to his statement “that illegal hunting (is) much less important than letting off a firework after 11pm”. Pro-hunters “fears that police will rely on ‘vigilante groups’”.

The simple fact is that the police will respond, or will not respond, depending on the information they are passed by the general public. If they are informed of a breach of the law while a hunt is in progress, then they will attend to see if any offences are being committed, but only if there is an officer available; they won’t be dragging someone off an armed robbery to investigate, however. If someone makes an official complaint after the event and states they have evidence of an offence then the police will assess this evidence and see if a crime has been committed and whether or not anyone can be charged. If they feel there is enough information to charge an individual then they will present the evidence to the CPS who will decide if they think there is a case to answer in court. If they decide there is then the case will go to trial where a jury can decide. It is not rocket science.

Will the law be broken? Yes. Will people get away with breaking the law? Of course. Will the standing of the justice system suffer as a result? Not unless people want it to. When my car was broken into a few years back, an offence had clearly been committed yet no one was caught for the crime. Actually, I didn’t even bother to report it; not because I had no faith in the police, but because realistically nothing could be done by anyone to trace the offenders. I didn’t curse the police, or wail that there was no point in there being a crime of criminal damage on the statute book and the law may as well be repealed; I just got my brother to bend the passengers door back into place and carried on driving it (until it got nicked a month later!).

Which reminds me; if you’ll excuse me I am off to break the law myself. I will do what millions of people do every day and commit an offence. I will break a law that I agree with, and which I do not wish to see repealed. Even though I am going to wilfully and happily commit an offence, I do not feel the law itself is being brought into disrepute. I am about to get into my car, and historically I think I have broken the law every time I have driven. And no; I don’t mean I am intending to run over a fox.

Update 25/2/05: Last night on Question Time, Anne Atkins said she had been hunting mice around her house this week, in defiance of the hunting ban, to show how foolish and unenforceable the new law is. Roger Scruton has been doing the same. Is the new legislation any more foolish than hunting mice just in order to prove a point? I doubt it. Whatever, most of the points I have made above apply to Anne’s revelation; she may have broken the law (Alun Michael said she hasn’t) but it seems a pretty trivial breach, and if she keeps quiet about it then the police will be none the wiser, and she can continue to break the law to her heart’s content.

The thing is that Anne is publicising her criminal activities; she says she wants to go to prison for her actions, and the fact that she is still at large proves that the law is unenforceable. Well it doesn’t. If she really wants to be arrested, then rather than mouth off on TV she should present herself at a police station and admit her crime. I suspect the police will try to talk her out of the action (they do have more important things to deal with, you know), but if she insists and signs a confession then she can have her day before the magistrates. Well done. However, if she thinks she will have proved that the law is a waste of police time, then she will be wrong; she personally will have wasted police time, through her own stupidity and childishness.

Uranium To Spare

I haven’t watched Who Wants To Be A Millionaire regularly for quite some time; I preferred it when it was on every night for a fortnight or so, and everybody watched it and talked about it the next day. Nowadays it is just another quiz show.

So I was as surprised as anyone when I found myself watching it yesterday; and I was even more surprised when Alistair Campbell and his partner Fiona Millar turned up as contestants. Regular readers of this blog will know that Campbell is something of a bete-noir of mine, so I was interested to see how they would fare.

What was initially noticeable was just how nervous Campbell seemed; he was grinning uncertainly throughout the first few questions, a bit like a Cheshire cat trying to gauge the mood of the audience. Perhaps he was aware that he was in a position to get his fingers burned, like his boss Tony Blair seems to have done by appearing on just about every TV programme under the sun last week.

But it really got interesting when he was asked a question that went something like “Finish the title of the following television programme; ‘Knowing Me, Knowing You With…’” An easy enough question you would think? The programme makers obviously thought so, which is why it was only a £2000 question, or thereabouts. But Campbell and Millar were completely stumped; they started muttering something about ABBA, but they really had no clue at all.

Now this is fine I guess; I don’t expect everyone to have the same knowledge of sit-coms that I do. But isn’t it amazing that two prominent figures – one who was Labour’s director of communications, the other the former adviser to Cherie Blair – are apparantly unaware of a landmark television programme that ruthlessly mocked the pretence and pretensions of the media? Is it any wonder, then, that when Blair cranks the cheesy insincerity up to 11, Campbell is unable to tell him how stupid and Alan Partridge-like he seems?

In the end they asked the audience, and 91% gave the correct answer; an indication of just how out of touch the contestants are.

But worse was to come. A few questions later the duo were asked “Which country launched the Skylab space station in 1973?” with the options of Great Britain, France, the USA and Russia. Again, an easy question? Perhaps; but even if you don’t know the answer, there is surely only one guess you could reasonably make, isn’t there? I mean, Skylab doesn’t sound very Russian does it, and the British and French space agencies have done very little individually, whilst their most famous collective effort is currently littering the Martian landscape.

Well, apparently it isn’t that straight forward. Campbell and Millar ummed and arred, they thought and re-thought, they just didn’t know, and couldn’t even make an educated guess. To compound the offence, Millar wondered out loud “what year was the Apollo moon landing,” to which Campbell replied, “oh, 1970-something I think.”

1970-something? For Christ’s sake; doesn’t everyone know it was 1969? No pub quiz in the land would demean itself by asking when man first stepped on the moon; neither would any school quiz. It was, quite frankly, an astonishing display of ignorance.

Well, it barely matters what happened next I suppose. Our heroes got it into their heads that the most likely answer was Britain, but they asked a friend (no, not Tony) who thought it could be France. They went 50/50, and were astonished when Britain and Russia were eliminated, making it a straight choice between the United States (who have been responsible for the first space walk, the moon landings, the space shuttle) and France (their Ariane rockets enable us to watch satellite telly).

They went for France, and that was the end of their stay on the programme. £1000 went to charity though, so it’s not all bad news.

I know I shouldn’t be surprised at the fallibility of those who seek to rule us, but it is scary to think that Campbell was, at one time, probably the second most powerful man in the country. He still has the ear of the Prime Minister, and remains hugely influential within Blair’s cabal. If such people don’t even know in which year Neil Armstrong landed on the moon, then no wonder they don’t know if there were any WMD in Iraq, or anything else for that matter; yet these are the very people who make wide ranging decisions on our behalf. I was laughing when I watched Who Wants To Be A Millionaire last night, but the more I think about it, it really isn’t a laughing matter.